dr ali binazir odds of being born

Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. But lets think about this some more. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. Part of HuffPost Wellness. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Or stalk me (with love.). If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. The answer, if my math is right, (assuming a mass of the moon of 7.34 x 10^22 kg), is about 7.34 x 10^34 years. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: 1 in 1045,000. The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Thats a pretty good trip. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. Onward to freedom! The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. Which one's bigger? So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. Thats going to take a LONG time. This is true no matter how far back in your family's history you may wish to go. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. You can start the series by clicking HERE. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Thank you, Monsignor. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. The odds against 26 blacks in a row are about 66 million to one against; however, previous results have absolutely no effect on subsequent ones. But let's think about this some more. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Wowser. If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Which ones bigger? If you need to flag this entry as abusive. So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? Hello there! Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. Thats a ridiculously huge number. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? Or could they be underestimates of the true number? Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. If we really took it in we would fall on our knees with rapture and tears of gratitude. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. This includes personalizing content and advertising. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Yet here we are. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Step 1. Do you know the odds of being alive? Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Scripture says. Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee Step 3. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Based on the data from the CDC . That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? saving. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Whoa. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Why? By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. June 5. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. And worry and fear? That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . Has anybody ever said to you Youre one in a million? I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. What are the odds of that? We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. Were all winners in life without doing anything! Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. June 24, 2022 . Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. For perspective on the size of those numbers, there are only 10x 80 elementary particles in the observable universe.). So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. I would not exist if my parents had not existed and then met. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. But Im not mathy. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man.

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